BibTex Citation Data :
@article{Medstat21490, author = {Anik Djuraidah and Cici Suheni and Banan Nabila}, title = {PERAMALAN CURAH HUJAN EKSTRIM DI PROVINSI BANTEN DENGAN MODEL EKSTRIM SPASIAL}, journal = {MEDIA STATISTIKA}, volume = {12}, number = {1}, year = {2019}, keywords = {}, abstract = { Extreme rainfall can cause negative impacts such as floods, landslides, and crop failures. Extreme rainfall modeling using spatial extreme models can provide location information of the event. Spatial extreme models combine the extreme value theory, the max-stable process, and the geostatistical correlation function of F-madogram. The estimation of the return value on the spatial extreme models is performed using the copula approach. This research used monthly rainfall data from January 1998 until December 2014 at 19 rain stations in Banten Province. The results showed that there was a high spatial dependence on extreme rainfall data in Banten Province. The forecast in range 1.5 years showed the best result compared to other ranges (1 year, 3 years, and 5 years) with MAPE 20%. The pattern of extreme rainfall forecasting was similar to its actual value with a correlation of 0.7 to 0.8. The predicted location that has the highest extreme rainfall was the Pandeglang Regency. Extreme rainfall forecasting at 19 rain stations in Banten Province using spatial extreme models produced a good forecasting. }, issn = {2477-0647}, pages = {50--62} doi = {10.14710/medstat.12.1.50-62}, url = {https://ejournal.undip.ac.id/index.php/media_statistika/article/view/21490} }
Refworks Citation Data :
Extreme rainfall can cause negative impacts such as floods, landslides, and crop failures. Extreme rainfall modeling using spatial extreme models can provide location information of the event. Spatial extreme models combine the extreme value theory, the max-stable process, and the geostatistical correlation function of F-madogram. The estimation of the return value on the spatial extreme models is performed using the copula approach. This research used monthly rainfall data from January 1998 until December 2014 at 19 rain stations in Banten Province. The results showed that there was a high spatial dependence on extreme rainfall data in Banten Province. The forecast in range 1.5 years showed the best result compared to other ranges (1 year, 3 years, and 5 years) with MAPE 20%. The pattern of extreme rainfall forecasting was similar to its actual value with a correlation of 0.7 to 0.8. The predicted location that has the highest extreme rainfall was the Pandeglang Regency. Extreme rainfall forecasting at 19 rain stations in Banten Province using spatial extreme models produced a good forecasting.
Note: This article has supplementary file(s).
Article Metrics:
Last update:
Prediction of riverflow using bivariate extreme value distribution with composite likelihood approach
Forecasting rainfall and potential for repeated events to predict flood areas in Banten province, Indonesia
Spatial extreme modeling using student t copula approach in Ngawi Regency
Statistical downscaling modeling with quantile regression using lasso to estimate extreme rainfall
Last update: 2024-11-20 14:27:03
The Authors submitting a manuscript do so on the understanding that if accepted for publication, copyright of the article shall be assigned to Media Statistika journal and Department of Statistics, Universitas Diponegoro as the publisher of the journal. Copyright encompasses the rights to reproduce and deliver the article in all form and media, including reprints, photographs, microfilms, and any other similar reproductions, as well as translations.
Media Statistika journal and Department of Statistics, Universitas Diponegoro and the Editors make every effort to ensure that no wrong or misleading data, opinions or statements be published in the journal. In any way, the contents of the articles and advertisements published in Media Statistika journal are the sole and exclusive responsibility of their respective authors and advertisers.
The Copyright Transfer Form can be downloaded here: [Copyright Transfer Form Media Statistika]. The copyright form should be signed originally and send to the Editorial Office in the form of original mail, scanned document or fax :
Dr. Di Asih I Maruddani (Editor-in-Chief) Editorial Office of Media StatistikaDepartment of Statistics, Universitas DiponegoroJl. Prof. Soedarto, Kampus Undip Tembalang, Semarang, Central Java, Indonesia 50275Telp./Fax: +62-24-7474754Email: maruddani@live.undip.ac.id
Media Statistika
Department of Statistics, Faculty of Science and Mathematics, Universitas Diponegoro
Gedung F Lantai 3, Jalan Prof Jacub Rais, Kampus Tembalang
Semarang 50275
Indexing: