BibTex Citation Data :
@article{Medstat22744, author = {Dea Titi and Heri Kuswanto and Suhartono Suhartono}, title = {PERAMALAN LANGSUNG DAN TIDAK LANGSUNG MARKET SHARE MOBIL MENGGUNAKAN ARIMAX DENGAN EFEK VARIASI KALENDER}, journal = {MEDIA STATISTIKA}, volume = {13}, number = {1}, year = {2020}, keywords = {ARIMAX; Daihatsu; Direct; Indirect; Market share}, abstract = {Based on BPS data, the transportation industry sector contributed to about 8.01% of Indonesia's economic growth. The rapid growth of the transportation industry is also followed by the development of the automotive industry in Indonesia. The Exclusive Lisencee Agent of the Astra International group won a market share of 57% in April 2017. PT. Astra Daihatsu Motor, which is one of its subsidiaries, has a very rapid sales increase of 15% every year until Daihatsu's market share rises to 17.3%. Data from the Gabungan Industri Kendaraan Bermotor Indonesia (Gaikindo) shows an upward trend in car sales a month before Idul Fitri. This study carried out Daihatsu's direct and indirect market share forecasting using ARIMAX with a variety of calendar effects consisting of trends, monthly seasonal effects and Idul Fitri effects. The results indicated that indirect forecasting through forecasting the car sales for each brand and total market using ARIMAX outperforms the others and is able to capture the pattern of the testing data. The resulting SMAPE value of ARIMAX is smaller than direct forecasting and indirect forecasting using ARIMA.}, issn = {2477-0647}, pages = {47--59} doi = {10.14710/medstat.13.1.47-59}, url = {https://ejournal.undip.ac.id/index.php/media_statistika/article/view/22744} }
Refworks Citation Data :
Note: This article has supplementary file(s).
Article Metrics:
Last update:
Last update: 2024-10-31 22:03:40
The Authors submitting a manuscript do so on the understanding that if accepted for publication, copyright of the article shall be assigned to Media Statistika journal and Department of Statistics, Universitas Diponegoro as the publisher of the journal. Copyright encompasses the rights to reproduce and deliver the article in all form and media, including reprints, photographs, microfilms, and any other similar reproductions, as well as translations.
Media Statistika journal and Department of Statistics, Universitas Diponegoro and the Editors make every effort to ensure that no wrong or misleading data, opinions or statements be published in the journal. In any way, the contents of the articles and advertisements published in Media Statistika journal are the sole and exclusive responsibility of their respective authors and advertisers.
The Copyright Transfer Form can be downloaded here: [Copyright Transfer Form Media Statistika]. The copyright form should be signed originally and send to the Editorial Office in the form of original mail, scanned document or fax :
Dr. Di Asih I Maruddani (Editor-in-Chief) Editorial Office of Media StatistikaDepartment of Statistics, Universitas DiponegoroJl. Prof. Soedarto, Kampus Undip Tembalang, Semarang, Central Java, Indonesia 50275Telp./Fax: +62-24-7474754Email: maruddani@live.undip.ac.id
Media Statistika
Department of Statistics, Faculty of Science and Mathematics, Universitas Diponegoro
Gedung F Lantai 3, Jalan Prof Jacub Rais, Kampus Tembalang
Semarang 50275
Indexing: