BibTex Citation Data :
@article{Medstat5664, author = {Suparti Suparti}, title = {ANALISIS DATA INFLASI DI INDONESIA MENGGUNAKAN MODEL REGRESI SPLINE}, journal = {MEDIA STATISTIKA}, volume = {6}, number = {1}, year = {2013}, keywords = {}, abstract = { The inflation data is one of the financial time series data that has a high volatility, so if the data is modeled with parametric models (AR, MA and ARIMA), sometimes occur problems because there was an assumption that cannot be satisfied. The developed model of parametric to cope with the volatility of the data is the ARCH and GARCH models. This alternative parametric models still requires the normality assumption in the data that often cannot be satisfied by financial data. Then a nonparametric method that does not require strict assumptions as parametric methods is developed. This research aims to conduct a study in Indonesia inflation data modeling using nonparametric methods is spline regression model with truncated spline bases. Goodness of a spline regression model is determined by an orde and knots location . However, the knots location are more dominant in spline regression model. One way to get the optimal knots location are by minimizing the value of Generalized Cross Validation (GCV). By modeling the annual inflation data of Indonesia in December 2006 - December 2011, the inflation target in 2012 is 4.5% + 1% can be achieved while the inflation target in 2013 is 4.5% + 1% cannot be achieved, because that prediction in 2013 is 8.55%. It was caused by government policy to raise the price of basic electricity and the fuel prices in 2013. Keywords : Inflation, Spline Regression Model, Generalized Cross Validation. Normal 0 false false false IN X-NONE X-NONE /* Style Definitions */ table.MsoNormalTable \{mso-style-name:\"Table Normal\"; mso-tstyle-rowband-size:0; mso-tstyle-colband-size:0; mso-style-noshow:yes; mso-style-priority:99; mso-style-qformat:yes; mso-style-parent:\"\"; mso-padding-alt:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; mso-para-margin-top:0cm; mso-para-margin-right:0cm; mso-para-margin-bottom:10.0pt; mso-para-margin-left:0cm; line-height:105%; mso-pagination:widow-orphan; font-size:11.0pt; font-family:\"Calibri\",\"sans-serif\"; mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri; mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family:\"Times New Roman\"; mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri; mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-latin; mso-bidi-font-family:\"Times New Roman\"; mso-bidi-theme-font:minor-bidi;\} }, issn = {2477-0647}, pages = {1--9} doi = {10.14710/medstat.6.1.1-9}, url = {https://ejournal.undip.ac.id/index.php/media_statistika/article/view/5664} }
Refworks Citation Data :
Keywords : Inflation, Spline Regression Model, Generalized Cross Validation.
Article Metrics:
Last update:
Biresponses Kernel Nonparametric Regression: Inflation and Economic Growth
Indonesia’s Inflation Analysis Using Hybrid Fourier - Wavelet Multiscale Autoregressive Method
Last update: 2024-11-08 01:22:17
Indonesia's Inflation Analysis Using Hybrid Fourier - Wavelet Multiscale Autoregressive Method
The Authors submitting a manuscript do so on the understanding that if accepted for publication, copyright of the article shall be assigned to Media Statistika journal and Department of Statistics, Universitas Diponegoro as the publisher of the journal. Copyright encompasses the rights to reproduce and deliver the article in all form and media, including reprints, photographs, microfilms, and any other similar reproductions, as well as translations.
Media Statistika journal and Department of Statistics, Universitas Diponegoro and the Editors make every effort to ensure that no wrong or misleading data, opinions or statements be published in the journal. In any way, the contents of the articles and advertisements published in Media Statistika journal are the sole and exclusive responsibility of their respective authors and advertisers.
The Copyright Transfer Form can be downloaded here: [Copyright Transfer Form Media Statistika]. The copyright form should be signed originally and send to the Editorial Office in the form of original mail, scanned document or fax :
Dr. Di Asih I Maruddani (Editor-in-Chief) Editorial Office of Media StatistikaDepartment of Statistics, Universitas DiponegoroJl. Prof. Soedarto, Kampus Undip Tembalang, Semarang, Central Java, Indonesia 50275Telp./Fax: +62-24-7474754Email: maruddani@live.undip.ac.id
Media Statistika
Department of Statistics, Faculty of Science and Mathematics, Universitas Diponegoro
Gedung F Lantai 3, Jalan Prof Jacub Rais, Kampus Tembalang
Semarang 50275
Indexing: