Kajian Kesesuaian Rumus Intensitas Hujan dan Kurva Intensitas Durasi Frekuensi (IDF) di Wilayah Kampus Universitas Brawijaya, Malang

Abstract

Rainfall intensity known as an essential variable in rainfall-runoff transformation. Flood events occurred in 2017 at Brawijaya University campus caused by high intensity and landuse change in campus's internal and external environment. The study aims to examine performance of several empirical  formulas  in estimating rainfall intensity, investigating characteristic of each empirical formula’s contant due to varying return period (Tr), and determining appropriate Intensity Duration Frequency (IDF) curve. The formula of Sherman, Talbot, and Ishiguro was employed to obtain empirical intensity, while intensity on varying return period was calculated using Log Pearson Type III. The proposed rainfall intensity formula was selected through comparison between empirical intensity with those from observation according to criteria of relative error (KR), Nash Sutcliffe Efficiency (NSE), and Peak Weight Root Mean Square Error (PWRMSE). The Sherman formula showed best performance in estimating rainfall intensity as indicated by low value of KR and PWRMSE, followed by NSE close to one. The constant of empirical formula “a” was directly proportional with increasing of Tr; conversely, constant “b” and “n” were inverse with Tr. The validation result of Sherman formula demonstrated that the formula showed good reliability, thus recommended to estimate intensity and IDF curve in the study area.