BibTex Citation Data :
@article{TEKNIK77258, author = {Aji Prakoso Nimanto and Ardy Satriya and Nasywa Hanin Hanifah and Arno Adi Kuntoro and Mohammed As Algoul}, title = {Dam-Break Flood Modeling and Risk Assessment using HEC-RAS 2D: for Ladongi Dam, Southeast Sulawesi, Indonesia}, journal = {TEKNIK}, volume = {47}, number = {1}, year = {2026}, keywords = {Dam-break; 2D Hydraulic Modeling; Risk Assessment; HEC-RAS; Ladongi Dam}, abstract = { Dam-break floods pose severe threats to human safety, infrastructure, and economies, especially in embankment dams. The Ladongi Dam, located in East Kolaka Regency, Southeast Sulawesi, Indonesia, is classified as a high-hazard structure, making its potential failure a significant concern. This study aims to assess dam-break flood hazards and risks using HEC-HMS to simulate rainfall, runoff and dam-break hydrographs, and HEC-RAS 2D to model downstream flood propagation and inundation characteristics. The results show that under the Probable Maximum Precipitation (PMP = 550.7 mm), the dam and spillway can safely manage the PMF without overtopping. Under a piping failure scenario, simulations indicate an inundated area of 76.7 km² across three sub-districts, with a peak flow velocity of 23.48 m/s, a water depth exceeding 10 m, and a flood duration of more than 24 hours. Risk assessment integrating hazard, vulnerability, and capacity indices shows the highest risk level in Ladongi Sub-district (0.67), while Dangia (0.57) and Loea (0.62) are classified as medium risk. These results highlight that non-structural mitigation measures such as early warning systems, evacuation planning, and community preparedness can enhance community capacity and contribute to reducing the overall flood risk index in the affected region. }, issn = {2460-9919}, pages = {41--50} doi = {10.14710/teknik.v47i1.77258}, url = {https://ejournal.undip.ac.id/index.php/teknik/article/view/77258} }
Refworks Citation Data :
Dam-break floods pose severe threats to human safety, infrastructure, and economies, especially in embankment dams. The Ladongi Dam, located in East Kolaka Regency, Southeast Sulawesi, Indonesia, is classified as a high-hazard structure, making its potential failure a significant concern. This study aims to assess dam-break flood hazards and risks using HEC-HMS to simulate rainfall, runoff and dam-break hydrographs, and HEC-RAS 2D to model downstream flood propagation and inundation characteristics. The results show that under the Probable Maximum Precipitation (PMP = 550.7 mm), the dam and spillway can safely manage the PMF without overtopping. Under a piping failure scenario, simulations indicate an inundated area of 76.7 km² across three sub-districts, with a peak flow velocity of 23.48 m/s, a water depth exceeding 10 m, and a flood duration of more than 24 hours. Risk assessment integrating hazard, vulnerability, and capacity indices shows the highest risk level in Ladongi Sub-district (0.67), while Dangia (0.57) and Loea (0.62) are classified as medium risk. These results highlight that non-structural mitigation measures such as early warning systems, evacuation planning, and community preparedness can enhance community capacity and contribute to reducing the overall flood risk index in the affected region.
Article Metrics:
Adityawan, M. B., Sandi, C., Harlan, D., Farid, M., Kuntoro, A. A., Widyaningtias, Chaidar, A. N., & Nugroho, J. (2023). Numerical Modeling of Dam Break Induced Flow through Multiple Buildings in an Idealized City. Results in Engineering, 18, 101060. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rineng.2023.101060">[Crossref]
Adityawan, M. B., Yakti, B. P., Sandi, C., Sasongko, A. W., Farid, M., Harlan, D., Kuntoro, A. A., Widyaningtias, & Riawan, E. (2024). Economic Loss due to the Failure of a Cascade Dam: A Study Case in the Saguling-Cirata-Jatiluhur Dam. International Journal on Advanced Science, Engineering and Information Technology, 14(1), 333–343. https://doi.org/10.18517/ijaseit.14.1.19433">[Crossref]
Álvarez, M., Puertas, J., Peña, E., & Bermúdez, M. (2017). Two-Dimensional Dam-Break Flood Analysis in Data-Scarce Regions: The Case Study of Chipembe Dam, Mozambique. Water, 9(6), 432. https://doi.org/10.3390/w9060432">[Crossref]
BNPB. (2012). Peraturan Kepala Badan Nasional Penanggulangan Bencana Nomor 02 Tahun 2012 tentang Pedoman Umum Pengkajian Risiko Bencana.
Demir, F., Sarayli, S., Sonmez, O., Ergun, M., Baycan, A., & Tuncer Evcil, G. (2025). Two-Dimensional Flood Modeling of a Piping-Induced Dam Failure Triggered by Seismic Deformation: A Case Study of the Doğantepe Dam. Water, 17(15), 2207. https://doi.org/10.3390/w17152207">[Crossref]
Elalfy, E., Czapiga, M. J., Viparelli, E., Imran, J., & Hanif Chaudhry, M. (2025). Modeling Breach Evolution in Noncohesive Earthen Dams by Overtopping. Journal of Hydraulic Engineering, 151(1). https://doi.org/10.1061/JHEND8.HYENG-13888">[Crossref]
Ferrari, A., Vacondio, R., & Mignosa, P. (2023). High-Resolution 2D Shallow Water Modelling of Dam Failure Floods for Emergency Action Plans. Journal of Hydrology, 618, 129192. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2023.129192">[Crossref]
Froehlich, D. C. (2008). Embankment Dam Breach Parameters and Their Uncertainties. Journal of Hydraulic Engineering, 134(12), 1708–1721. https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)0733-9429(2008)134:12(1708)">[Crossref]
Huseiny, M. I., Kuntoro, A. A., Nugroho, E. O., & Kusuma, M. S. B. (2024). Dam-Break Risk Analysis and Mitigation at Pidekso Dam, Wonogiri Regency, Central Java, Indonesia. Journal of Water Management Modeling. https://doi.org/10.14796/JWMM.C521">[Crossref]
Jayadi, M. S. P., Wirahadikusumah, R. D., & Harlan, D. (2020). The Development of Dam Infrastructure Condition and Safety Assessment. Jurnal Teknik Sipil, 27(1), 17–24. https://doi.org/10.5614/jts.2020.27.1.3">[Crossref]
Jibhakate, S. M., Timbadiya, P. V., & Patel, P. L. (2024). Dam-Break Flood Hazard and Risk Assessment of Large Dam for Emergency Preparedness: A study of Ukai Dam, India. Journal of Hydrology, 640, 131659. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2024.131659">[Crossref]
Keaokiriya, P., Krishna, P. S. V. R., Shivakoti, B. R., Goto, T., Sakai, H., Dewi, A., & Arambepola, N. M. S. I. (2022). Disaster Risk Reduction in the ASEAN Region: Understanding and Assessing Systematic Risks of Floods and Landslides in a River Basin Context. In The UN Global Assessment Report on Disaster Risk Reduction 2022 (GAR 2022) Contributing Paper. United Nations Office for Disaster Risk Reduction (UNDRR).
Kusuma, M. S. (2019). Experimental Model of Dam Break Flow Around Several Blockages Configurations. International Journal of GEOMATE, 16(58). https://doi.org/10.21660/2019.58.97684">[Crossref]
Lim, M., Ginting, B. M., Senjaya, T., & Kieswanti, C. (2024). Comparison of 1D, coupled 1D–2D, and 2D Shallow Water Numerical Modeling for Dam-Break Flow Analysis of Way-Ela Dam, Indonesia. Acta Hydrotechnica, 27–50. https://doi.org/10.15292/acta.hydro.2024.02">[Crossref]
Mani, P., Chatterjee, C., & Kumar, R. (2014). Flood Hazard Assessment with Multiparameter Approach Derived from Coupled 1D and 2D Hydrodynamic Flow Model. Natural Hazards, 70(2), 1553–1574. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-013-0891-8">[Crossref]
Mulyadi, M., Soekarno, I., & Winskayati, W. (2014). Analisis Pilar Modernisasi Irigasi dengan Pendekatan Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP) pada Daerah Irigasi Barugbug - Jawa Barat. Jurnal Teknik Sipil, 21(3), 213. https://doi.org/10.5614/jts.2014.21.3.4">[Crossref]
Nurhakim, M. L., Hendrawan, A. P., & Asmaranto, R. (2025). Dam-Break Assessment of Ciawi-Sukamahi Parallel Dry Dams by Using HEC-RAS. Civil Engineering and Architecture, 13(3), 1465–1479. https://doi.org/10.13189/cea.2025.130303">[Crossref]
Oriandra, R. D., Kusuma, M. S. B., Farid, M., Nugroho, E. O., Soekarno, I., & Andrean, R. (2024). Risk analysis of debris and non-debris flow in the Cisokan river flood event. E3S Web of Conference.
Pambudi, Y. A. C., & Sriyana, I. (2024). Kajian Evaluasi Keamanan Bendungan Rukoh Terhadap Overtopping Berdasarkan Penelusuran Banjir di Waduk. TEKNIK, 45(1), 41–50. https://doi.org/10.14710/teknik.v45i1.59405">[Crossref]
Sandi, C., Nugroho, E. O., & Cahyono, M. (2022). Dambreak Risk Analysis of Jenelata Dam and its Mitigation Plan. Bulletin of Civil Engineering, 2(2), 49–56. https://doi.org/10.18196/bce.v2i2.15533">[Crossref]
Suprapto, R. E., Japarussidik, J., Sriyana, S., & Sadono, K. W. (2021). Penilaian Risiko Bendungan Pelaparado Berbasis Metode Modifikasi ICOLD dan Metode Indeks Risiko. TEKNIK, 42(2), 226–235. https://doi.org/10.14710/teknik.v42i2.39715">[Crossref]
Supratman, M., Kusuma, M. S. B., Cahyono, M., & Kuntoro, A. A. (2025). An Assessment of Nature-Based Solutions Water Infrastructure for Flood Risk Reduction in Unplanned Area. Civil Engineering Journal, 11(5), 1827–1855. https://doi.org/10.28991/CEJ-2025-011-05-07">[Crossref]
Verma, D., Berwal, P., Khan, M. A., Alharbi, R. S., Alfaisal, F. M., & Rathnayake, U. (2023). Design for the Prediction of Peak Outflow of Embankment Breaching Due to Overtopping by Regression Technique and Modelling. Water, 15(6), 1224. https://doi.org/10.3390/w15061224">[Crossref]
Wang, F., Okeke, A. C.-U., Kogure, T., Sakai, T., & Hayashi, H. (2018). Assessing the Internal Structure of Landslide Dams Subject to Possible Piping Erosion by Means of Microtremor Chain Array and Self-Potential Surveys. Engineering Geology, 234, 11–26. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enggeo.2017.12.023">[Crossref]
Zhang, L., Xu, W., Zhang, F., Zhang, W., Zhou, M., & Zhang, X. (2024). Experimental Study on the Impact of the Second Dam Break Heights on the Evolution of Two-Dam Failure Floods. Ocean Engineering, 309, 118359. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.oceaneng.2024.118359">[Crossref]
Zhou, J., Sun, C., Liu, J., Sun, R., Jin, S., Qin, C., & Wang, H. (2025). Risk Spatial Distribution and Economic Loss Assessment for Parallel Reservoir Group Dam-Break Floods: A Case Study of Southwest River Basin in China. Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studies, 59, 102364. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejrh.2025.102364">[Crossref]
Last update:
Last update: 2026-08-13 09:01:16
The Authors submitting a manuscript do so on the understanding that if accepted for publication, copyright of the article shall be assigned to jurnal TEKNIK and Faculty of Engineering, Diponegoro University as publisher of the journal.
Copyright transfer agreement can be found here: [Copyright transfer agreement in doc] and [Copyright transfer agreement in pdf].
View My Stats